March 1, 2022
March 29, 2022

This isn’t a secret between governments (anymore). President Putin publicly accepted President Zelensky's peace proposal (above).


Ukrainians are celebrating in the streets. In the image below, musicians are shown feeeling so safe that they’re performing enthusiastically in a city center on April 17. Clearly calm and safety have returned to the area.

There was briefly celebration in the streets, because Russia honored President Zelensky’s peace proposal and then acknowledged acceptance of the deal. Ukraine also reciprocated peace.


Russia stood down in most of western Ukraine. There is peace and calm between the people in the capital now, according to every U.S. general on CNN over the past ten days. There is peace and calm in much of western Ukraine. This is what Russia was asked to do in Turkey. Ukraine is also standing down the way Ukraine was asked to do. Although there were minor incidences on Russia’s side of the understood line of control, Ukrainian marines mostly kept their word. They ceased opposing Russia in Mariupol entirely, and returned the area to Russia’s control. More than a thousand Ukrainian servicemen in Mariupol even joined with the Russian side. They couldn’t have done more behaviorally to show that there is peace there.


So the peace proposal was clearly implemented for a short time by all parties - albeit imperfectly. Both leaders and countries were doing their best to keep their word to each other. They returned to the line of control that kept the peace for more than a decade.


This week, Russian Federation Council Member Andrew Klimov even publicly confirmed there was a decision for Russia to end the incursion. He was quoted as saying that the incursion will stop “in the near future” as soon as Ukraine becomes “safe for Russia, the whole world.”


President Putin publicly acknowledged his acceptance of President Zelenksy's peace proposal around April 13.

President Vladimir Putin

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President Zelensky promised in his peace proposal that Russia would not meet with with resistance in areas in eastern Ukraine, particularly Luhansk, Donetsk, Crimea, Sevastopol and Donbas. This was a very significant commitment from Ukraine for peace because it means standing down and withdrawing military along a substantial border with Russia. (But everyone understands that negotiations can continue as a friendly matter, and through diplomacy Ukraine may eventually gain these areas. Anything is possible in a future peace deal. In fact, progress towards such a follow-on peace deal might already be quietly developing.)

Everyone understands that Crimea, Sevastopol and Donbas will not come under Ukrainian control under the current agreement.


And newspapers have reported there have been serious incidences in these areas. These areas are supposed to be on Russia's side of the line of control where Russia is supposed to be un-apposed and receive peaceful treatment. Incidences there could lead to questions about President Zelensky’s commitment to his own peace deal.

President Putin expressed some unease about events in the east. But Ukraine said that their offensive into Russia’s territory was staged by Russia, and a day later more than one thousand Ukrainian marines in Mariupol voluntarily stood down and turned themselves in to the Russian side. That was a courageous thing to do for peace.


This is very encouraging to those desirous of peace because peace talks for a follow-on peace deal might continue with much greater possibility of success now as a result.


President Zelensky has received substantial support from the United States and Europe in the past. He might be able to use his considerable persuasiveness to involve American and European countries in a next peace agreement.


President Zelensky explained on April 16 in interviews with leading online media outlets that he envisions the ultimate documents on peace between Russia and Ukraine may occur sequentially. President Zelensky was quoted as saying, "I believe that these can be two different documents.”

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky


March 16, 2022

Once peace and calm persists under the Turkish peace deal, a more ambitious next plan can then return millions of Ukrainian and Russian citizens to their homes. For instance, the following five-part peace deal might become LOVED by all of the populations and governments in western and eastern Europe by returning Ukrainians and Russians to the area.


1) Europe will grant Ukraine immediate membership in the European Union. This agreement will therefore save the Ukrainian economy and return millions of refugees from the streets of western Europe to their homes in Ukraine.


2) Europe will make an exemption that says EU membership for Ukraine will not include NATO membership for Ukraine. So there won’t be NATO weapons in Ukraine anymore.


3) Russia will generously turn over considerable territory under Russia’s control. Russia will relinquish 100% of “Ukraine” to Ukraine, including Luhansk, Donetsk, Crimea, Sevastopol and Donbas. (This will become acceptable to residence for the first time because they won’t be joining an unstable Ukrainian state. They’ll be gaining very desirable European Union citizenship. And Russia will LOVE for the population there to achieve this result because they’ll be safe from Europe and able to participate in the global economy as a result.)


But Russia will retain in this peace agreement access to Luhansk, Donetsk, Crimea, Sevastopol and Donbas to enjoy. The border with Europe will simply be on the Ukrainian side of the area, and the border with Russia will be on the Russian side. So the cities will be Ukranian. But the Russian population will feel as though they’re Russian cities. The regions can retain their Russian language and culture - something Russia’s Permanent United Nations Representative Sergey Lavrov says is Russia’s most important priority to making a phenomenal peace deal loved by everyone involved.


4) Russia, Ukraine and NATO will not have military weapons in Ukraine ever again. This will be guaranteed by all countries involved.


5) Sanctions will be fully lifted on all Russian citizens for the first time in a century. (Russia is a positive contributor to global peace already. This will be acknowledged. President Putin's continuous efforts for peace can receive truthful recognition from western leaders for the first time.) Russia will be considered for full membership in the European Union as a result.



Agreement to peace will return the more than ten million wandering Ukrainian and Russian refugees (languishing in European streets!) to their homes and work opportunities in Eastern Europe. This will benefit Western Europe immeasurably. Agreement to a hundred years of world peace will follow.


President Zelensky is understandably contemplating rebuilding in peacetime. He spoke with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF’s) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva about Ukraine's financial stability and the country's post-peace agreement reconstruction. The IMF can support President Zelensky with a multiple of the commitments during peace time than before.

Presumably peace would involve a substantially greater direct investment in Ukraine than the country has ever experienced before. Kristalina Georgieva confirmed the call in a tweet. "Thank you," she wrote, addressing Zelensky’s twitter handle, "for the very good call today." She wrote support is "essential to lay the foundations for rebuilding a modern competitive #Ukraine" It’s likely IMF and other economic support for Ukraine will multiply following peace agreements because of the desire to return refugees to their homes.


April 18, 2022



President Zelensky, on his personal blog, on April 18, called into question his sincerity to his own Turkish peace proposal, by describing Donbas as a an area of conflict instead of expected peace. He wrote that: “Russian troops have begun the battle for Donbas.” He would not have said that a battle was necessary for Russia to control Donbas if he was supporting his own peace deal, because Russia was supposed to be given control of the area by Ukraine. President Zelensky wrote that, “No matter how many Russian soldiers are driven there, we will fight. We will defend ourselves. We will do it daily. We will not give up anything Ukrainian, and we do not need what’s not ours.” Therefore, President Zelensky may have to put out a very different statement quickly to impress the Russian side that he wants to keep his word in Turkey, and to save the prospects for his own peace deal.


Russia's responses in the press follows:


"Russia's armed forces, based purely on humanitarian principles, again propose that the fighters of nationalist battalions and foreign mercenaries cease their military operations from 1400 Moscow time on 20th April and lay down arms," the Russian Defence Ministry said.


April 20, 2022



António Guterre, peace champion, and Head of the United Nations, may have meetings with the Ukrainian and Russian heads of state in their respective capital cities. He may also host meetings between their representatives at the United Nations. These could be great opportunities.


President Zelensky said this week that Ukraine must use every opportunity to negotiate peace with Russia: "This is a question for Vladimir Putin. And the meeting of our negotiating groups in Turkey depends on his desire... We must cling to every such moment, every opportunity….”


According to the Moscow Times, "UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres will arrive in Moscow for talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov [this week]," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said. "He will also be received by Russian President Vladimir Putin." 


April 28, 2022


Both President Zelensky and President Putin held meetings with UN Secretary General Guterres about peace. There was tough talk and tough military behavior around the time of those meetings. But Secretary General Guterres showed heroic courage and integrity pursuing diplomacy.


President Zelensky published the following statement after the meeting:


“We [are in favor of] a fundamental document that will allow our state to coexist with such a neighbor in the future… When everything is ready, I think our society, our journalists will definitely see the details of future agreements."


President Putin tasked Russia’s Permanent Representative at the United Nations Sergey Lavrov with following up on this possibility. (Mr. Lavrov has a track record of very successful negotiations, and his involvement is very optimistic for the those hoping for peace.) Mr. Lavrov said on April 29 that, “At present, the Russian and Ukrainian delegations are actually discussing on a daily basis via video-conferencing a draft of a possible treaty…. The talks’ agenda also includes… the lifting of sanctions [on Russia]. We are in favour of continuing the negotiations.”


All world leaders (without exception) will order the protection of Presidents Putin and Zelensky in peace with each other. This will greatly increase the amount of diplomacy both world leaders will participate in globally. All world leaders will use their diplomacy and communication teams to enhance the reputations of the Ukrainian and Russian governments in peace with each other. Their reputations will be further enhanced because both of their countries will have vastly improved relations with the United States and NATO in peace.


And the United State’s patterning on liberal news channels will finally condition peace towards Ukraine, Russia and all other nations, and consequently reflect integrity.

May 9, 2022

President Joe Biden signed a bill to fund Ukraine and said that he is committed to a peaceful resolution of differences. (CNN characterized his commitment otherwise.) This follows First Lady Jill Biden’s visit to Kyiv and her insistence on peace.

May 14, 2022


U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin called for peace in a Tweet.


Everyone may need to do more to communicate Defense Secretary’s peaceful intention because there are reports in Russian newspapers of aggression inside Russia’s Belgorod region. Those are very serious allegations from the Russian newspaper. If those reports are true, and the incidences didn’t predate his tweet, there may not have been adequate communication of the Defense Secretary’s intentions there. The Defense Secretary would not undermine his own credibility with Russia this way. And it’s unlikely there can be dereliction of duty from the U.S. and Ukrainian commanders responsible for that area. So Russian newspapers may be able to help end the conflict by directing attention in Belgorod to Defense Secretary Austin’s tweet.


Because Ukraine depends upon the United States and NATO for support, aggression within Russia’s borders can easily be halted by the United States. So it’s very important to U.S. - Russsia relations that Defense Secretary’s peaceful intention be respected.



May 21, 2022


Peace and calm reportedly returned to Russia in Belgorod. There is peace in Russia.

The United States Congress approved a very substantial increase in funding for Ukraine. And Germany and Italy simultaneously announced funding for Russia. (Gaivna believes Ukraine and Russia can join together with these funds to rebuild Ukraine. Russian leaderships is already promising to rebuild Mariupol, according to the Moscow Times.) The Russian Rouble is currently increasing in value, and has for the past six months - giving Russia the opportunity to procure goods the country needs inexpensively.


There’s a real possibility that everyone can work together on peace. Peace is clearly the best result for the populations in Russia, Ukraine and Europe.


The truth is that CNN’s patterning has egregiously perpetuated this conflict and incited populations against one another globally. It’s inexcusable. The entire world deserves much better from CNN. Right now.


Gaivna insists that ALL news organizations treat Presidents Biden, Putin & Zelensky respectfully regardless of the your political party or geopolitical perspective.




It’s possible for the next Ukraine-Russia peace deal to be a “secret." But the deal may have to be widely published for their to be global support. And that is the stated objective of both the Ukrainian and Russian governments right now.


In the mean time, U.S. news organizations such as Fox, MSNBC and CNN can support President Zelensky's phenomenal rhetoric for peace by devoting more coverage to peace and ethically patterning peace more and more persistently.














Antony Blinken

U.S. Secretary of State


U.S. Vice President Harris &

Ukraine President Zelensky


Russia President Vladimir Putin

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The minimum you must know


Before the start of the February 2022 incursion:


Ukraine is a former Soviet Union state that developed into a mostly peaceful but impoverished independent democracy in the 1990s. It’s geographically a large country — the second largest in Europe. But Ukraine has a comparably modest population of only forty million people. 


Like some of the former Soviet Union states, Ukraine hasn’t adequately developed its domestic economy or integrated into the global economy. There’s tremendous natural beauty there. The population has wonderful traditions and a sense of shared future. Therefore, there has always been great hope that Ukraine might one day fulfill its most optimistic objectives, and develop into a flourishing and fully enjoyable country. But Ukrainians remain desirous of complete economic integration with Europe.


Viktor Yanukovych was democratically elected in 2004 with initially overwhelming popularity, and he ruled for ten years. He gained influence while the country was in nascent development stages in the post soviet era. Ukrainians had very little. But Yanukovych created a sense of optimism anyway. He convinced his population he could develop the country into a peaceful place with open trading relations with wealthy European states and bordering Belarus, Poland, Romania and Russia. He felt Ukraine might easily develop into a phenomenal place to live. However, he faced tremendous challenges.


Yanukovych’s critics argue that he put his own business interests ahead of his country’s. But Yanukovych clearly made his country’s interests a top priority under difficult circumstances. He developed peaceful successful diplomatic relationships with all of Ukraine’s neighboring states. He also negotiated competently for open trading relationships with Western Europe. 


Yanukovych used his country’s excellent diplomacy and great relations with former soviet states to entice Europe with the possibility that he might switch Ukraine’s allegiance away from the European Union to Eastern Europe, unless the European Union would give Ukraine valuable open trading opportunities. That must have only been a negotiating tactic because all of the former soviet states including Ukraine were looking for every opportunity to trade with Europe, and would have welcomed any of Europe’s wealth into the area. Ukraine also wasn’t under pressure from former Soviet states to neglect Europe. After all, all of the countries in the region could have benefitted to the extent that any one of them integrated into the global economy, and attracted investment and consumers into the region. (Any success Ukraine achieved in its negotiations with Europe would certainly have been enjoyed by Russia, too, for instance.)


But at the height of those negotiations, Yanukovych’s tough negotiating strategy of feigning disinterest in trading with the European Union undermined his credibility with his own population. Ukrainians couldn’t stand the idea surfacing in the news that Yanukovych might walk away from a European trading deal in favor of an Eastern European one. They became concerned he was going to limit their opportunities too much. His negotiating tactic to shun the European Union for Eastern Europe (when everyone expected him to accept the European Union’s terms!) led to a popular uproar. Instability spiraled out of control so quickly that Ukraine became the center of attention globally.  


The Russian government was astonished at the developments in their closest neighboring state. What happens in Ukraine is obviously consequential to Russia because Ukraine and Russia used to be the same soviet country, sharing the same language and traditions. Citizens could travel freely between them. They were basically the same place. Completely unexpected instability in Ukraine therefore gained the attention of the Russian government. Perhaps the Russian government thought Ukrainian instability was resulting from a European plot to pressure and contain Russia. 


Yanukovych was a legitimately democratically elected leader who was negotiating effectively for his country. From Russia’s perspective, his only fault was negotiating too successfully. Russia urged Europe not to make a terrible mistake in neglecting to support him.  


This writer thinks it probably wasn’t Europe’s intention to unseat Yanukovych, or to destabilize Ukraine, and that nothing could stop the country’s mayhem from increasing and spreading. The population simply cared so much about the country’s negotiations with the European Union that their sensitivity (and not Europe) was responsible for their discontent. The disorder was no one's fault. But whether protests in Ukraine were encouraged by European agents there or not, the country started to fall into disarray. Disorganization spread to all major cities. In a matter of months, the Ukrainian government found themselves challenged by unruly people, and the entire situation unsustainable. Yanukovych's government had to cave under the pressure. The Ukraine government was overthrown as a result. Ukraine’s entire trading negotiations with both Western and Eastern Europe became unsuccessful. In fact, Ukraine’s trading relationship with all other countries became unsuccessful. No country at that time wanted to open up economically to a country in shambles.


Russians understandably feared the possibility that Ukrainian instability might spread across open borders and create instability in Russia. Russians imagined angry Ukranian mobs making a mess of Russian cities. It was a possibility the Russian government understandably simply couldn’t stand. Russia has been enjoying comparable success to Ukraine’s that they didn’t want thrown into jeopardy by Ukrainian events. Russia therefore responded immediately, competently and aggressively by sending security personnel into Ukraine to secure a substantial border area, and prevent this result. Russia stabilized significant regions and then immediately requested United Nations peace keepers be sent to stabilize the rest of Ukraine. Most of the Ukrainian population responded with tremendous relief. People in a few border areas held local elections and decided to join Russia. Russia respected those elections and has considered areas along the border to be part of Russia as a result.

 

A new Ukrainian government became responsible for the rest of Ukraine who immediately received Europe’s support. Europe and Ukraine say the subsequent government was fairly democratically elected. But the Russian government openly doubted that, and said they believed it was installed by Europe. Perhaps the fairest elections were held in Ukraine possible given the difficult circumstances and considerable instability there at that time. A Ukrainian business man named Petro Poroshenko took office in 2014. 


Ukraine’s President Poroshenko was a very competent and tough leader. His critics say he was unnecessarily tough. But his firm attitude led him to be successful in some ways. He gained a little support and cooperation from NATO, for instance. He also gained significant investment in Ukraine from the International Monetary Fund. However, he wasn’t able to solve the problem of the average Ukranian's lack of respect for their own government, and to adequately create stability. As a result, Ukraine developed economically under his lead. But Ukraine's internal security situation didn't improve much. Perhaps Poroshenko's population didn’t develop economically fast enough for there to be stability there.


Poroshenko sought and received a Minsk peace deal with Russia negotiated by the Obama administration. So there was stability in Ukraine’s relations with their most important bordering state. Russia seemed to support the Ukrainian effort for lasting peace so much that Russia made annual requests at the United Nations for U.N. peace keepers to be sent to Ukraine as a result. Peacekeepers represent an opportunity for Ukraine to benefit from additional security from countries aligned with Ukraine, and at Ukraine’s discretion, from Russia as well. Russia has requested peace keepers more frequently than annually now for seven years. But Poroshenko mostly preferred to feign disinterest in that possibility and to portray his country’s relationship with Russia as acrimonious, perhaps because he felt acrimony was important for him in securing NATO and International Monetary Fund support. He could have easily had openly improving and phenomenal relations with Russia. But he neglected opportunities to enter into a follow up Minsk peace deal, and didn’t join with Russia to request U.N. peace keepers for his country. He also spoke openly at the United Nations about his disagreements with Russia over their border area, which he felt should be returned to Ukraine.


Poroshenko’s popularity wained both with his domestic constituency and foreign governments perhaps because he neglected those opportunities for peace, and because he wasn’t able to create sufficient respect in his own country for government. He couldn’t sufficiently improve the Ukrainian economy to support the entire population. He attracted foreign loans. But those funds were not used to adequately stimulate industries. He received some support from NATO. But that didn’t create an adequate sense of safety and security for the population. He was able to develop some segments of the Ukrainian economy. But not enough. He did his best under incredibly difficult circumstances. But large parts of the country remained socially unstable and Ukraine voted Poroshenko out of office in 2019, in a regularly scheduled election as a result. 


Currently four percent of Ukraine’s population leave the country each year motivated by the perception of better security and economic opportunities in Europe, such as in Berlin and London. According to the Ukrainian government, Europe receives around one million Ukrainian refugees every nine months. (It’s possible the real number of migrants is even more.) Russia meanwhile argues that the exodus of refugees from the area means Russia was right to secure the parts of the country that they could, and to build a wall along the border area, because at least those areas are peaceful, successful and the population there consequently are remaining in place. Russia cannot help the rest of Ukraine, which are up to Ukraine’s government. Ukraine’s current Zelensky and previous Poroshenko governments appear to be at peace with one another. But there are media reports that the judiciary supporting the current leader has accused the previous one of sedition. Therefore, some effort may be necessary within Ukraine to maintain civil peace. (Are absolution and peace sometimes similar concepts?)


The current Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky became popularly elected in 2019. He was a media savvy popular television personality before getting into office, and enjoys broad domestic and international support. Everyone understands that he took over the country under extraordinary circumstances. The sensationalized perception of a pandemic, fluctuations in the global economy, various foreign relations complexities and uncontrolled migration aren’t simple matters for a new leader to take on. (Certainly there’s reason for optimism - the situation may quickly improve in all of these areas.) President Zelensky therefore enjoys the possibility of even greater popularity - supported by even better Ukrainian relations with all other countries (including Russia). His recent diplomacy with Presidents Erdogan and Macron of Turkey and France are creating global prestige for President Zelensky, because he appears to be doing the right thing for the Ukrainian people, and negotiating a real and lasting peace with all bordering states. Ukraine is also participating in a very important Olympics peace truce between all nations. The Ukraine Olympics athletes even made a “unanimous call for peace.” That’s a superb attitude about peace by the Ukrainian government.


Everyone hopes and believes President Zelensky can continue to use his great personality and popularity to improve national morale, grow the Ukrainian economy and make even more peace with all countries. (Perhaps he will support Russia’s requests at the United Nations that peace keepers be sent to Ukraine, because peace keepers can do more than provide - and even guarantee - Ukraine’s security. They can be affluent European consumers in Ukrainian stores. The subject of peace keepers can also helpfully keep the attention on peace and calm in the domestic and international press.) Clearly President Zelensky’s public comments reflect deep desire for peace and calm. The media can support him contributing to confidence and a sense of safety for everyone in the region. There’s global optimism President Zelensky can create peace and a better future for the Ukrainian people.

May 9, 2022

President Joe Biden signed a bill allocating funding for Ukraine for peaceful resolution of differences. This follows First Lady Jill (CNN characterizes the aid otherwise.)