It’s not unusual for people who express foreign policy views to encounter deterrence from Americans. But this may surprise Russia anyway because of the amount of support that developed for peace from U.S. communication. I was directly deterred in 2024 both by the U.S. side of intelligence and U.S. defense manufacturers. That’s a well formed opinion. All security sides also deterred each other - so there was all sorts of additionally frightening attitudes around. I recently - inadvertently - implied that U.S. deterrence/incitement towards me was from foreign intelligence (from the perspective of the United States). That wasn’t true. I sincerely apologize as a result.
The only significant benefits for NATO in the perception of security competition with Russia is that NATO governments have I) a way of justifying NATO; and II) a way to avoid responsibility for public safety mishaps within alliance borders.
The Russian government doesn’t need the same benefits to the same extent. But Russia derives them as well. Russians assume a foreign influence is at fault when there are imperfect experiences within Russia. And Russia is viewed as a formidable member of its own security alliance.
With those considerations aside, this writer believes all sides should resolve Ukraine now.
Russia clearly has good reason to tolerate a close relationship between Ukraine, Europe and the United States. Russia obviously would prefer for Ukraine to align with Russia. But the Ukrainian government is extremely talented and became deeply respected in Europe and the United States. This has created a cultural acceptance towards people in the region that didn’t use to exist. Americans and Europeans have realized that people from the region are terrific. This is important to relationships among governments. It’s also important to populations involved. Tens of millions of Ukrainian refugees are being welcomed throughout Europe. Ending their acceptance and integration is unimaginable. In this writer’s opinion, Russia should be understanding of further Ukrainian cooperation & open market integration as a result.
Also, European media surfaced the possibility that large countries may depart the EU. If even one or two large countries depart the union, Europe could fully separate. (This writer does not believe that’s a good idea for those countries or for Europe. But populations in Europe believe passionately in and may vote for disunity.) There may be no ultimate importance to whether Ukraine is a member of the European marketplace or not.
Russia’s most important demand has alway been that NATO remove dangerous weapons from Ukraine. That demand has always seemed reasonable to this author.
According to Russian President Vladimir Putin in May 2023, “Moscow wants a Peaceful, Free and stable Future.” He went on to say that, "For Russia there are no hostile nations in the West or in the East...” And in May 2024, the negotiating positions of the United States and Russia became nearly the same. Russia offered the entire map of Ukraine to weapons-free Ukrainians in the twelve point Chinese peace proposal. Russia also offered an immediate ceasefire. Russia and the U.S. are publicly almost on the same page as a result.
There has been exemplary linguistics for peace in Russian and Chinese rhetoric for a long time. Now there’s an awesome attitude from the NATO side as well.
In fact, there is history-making communication progress for peace:
https://gaivna.com/p/aplusnews
https://gaivna.com/p/what-peaceful-cool-people-think
(At one time Russia probably thought such phenomenal progress wasn’t possible - and it actually happened in just a couple of years.)
NATO governments and populations are developing balanced intuitions as a consequence of far more peaceful patterning.
NATO communication is doing everything right for peace.
There is a stunningly good effort for peace now!
This was writer hopes the communications accomplishment won’t be squandered.
Now is the moment for peace!
President Trump told the media and population that he wants to make peace. Then President Trump publicly expressed a desire for direct U.S. - Russia peace talks at the head of state level. There is clearly a real commitment to peace from the U.S. side.
The minimum all sides should agree to is a return to the "Minsk Peace Treaty," because it's essentially the same line of control that kept the peace there for almost a decade under an agreement entered into by President Barrack Obama, and that was signed by several European leaders and the Ukraine head of state. The peace agreement held throughout President Trump’s first term in office. It was unnecessarily ended by the Ukrainian side during the Biden administration.
But this writer hopes the Ukrainian and Russian governments might agree to a weapons-free Ukraine from all sides. That seems like the most brilliant way to resolve the matter.